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2007年,煤炭需求旺盛、铁路运煤量增幅加大,煤炭产量增幅随之回升,进出口由上年的净出口转变为进出口基本平衡,供需总体基本平衡,但动力煤与炼焦煤供需形势出现分化,动力煤为典型的供求平衡状态,炼焦煤供应偏紧,市场价格有不同程度的上调。预计2008年煤炭供需总体基本平衡的格局不会改变,动力煤供需形势向偏紧方向发展的可能性较大,上调电煤合同价格的市场动力将十分强劲;炼焦煤供应紧张程度减轻的可能性较大,价格仍将呈上行趋势。
In 2007, the demand for coal was soaring, and the increase in the amount of coal transported by railways increased. As a result, the increase in coal output picked up. The import and export from the previous year’s net exports shifted to a basic balance of imports and exports with a basically balanced supply and demand. However, the supply and demand situation of thermal coal and coking coal The emergence of differentiation, thermal coal as a typical balance of supply and demand, coking coal supply tight, the market price increases in varying degrees. It is estimated that the overall basic balance of coal supply and demand will not change in 2008, thermal power supply and demand situation is more likely to develop in a tight direction, and the market power to raise the price of coal contracts will be very strong; the possibility of reducing the supply of coking coal will be alleviated Larger, the price will continue upward trend.