【摘 要】
：
国内许多专家学者采用不同数学模型对尘肺的发病进行预测预报,并取得了满意的效果。但各种方法均需有完整连续的资料。本文就目前多数接尘厂、矿资料不够完整的现况,借助Pea
【机 构】
：
内蒙古自治区卫生防疫站 呼和浩特 010020
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国内许多专家学者采用不同数学模型对尘肺的发病进行预测预报,并取得了满意的效果。但各种方法均需有完整连续的资料。本文就目前多数接尘厂、矿资料不够完整的现况,借助Pearl-Read曲线数学模型进行尘肺发病预测。1 材料和方法 1.1资料来源采用内蒙古包头矿务局1950年至1986年全部Ⅰ期煤工尘肺患者资料,病人接尘史明确,有X光胸片检查档案资料,均系包头市职业病诊断组诊断,并经尘肺流调复核。
Many domestic experts and scholars use different mathematical models to predict the incidence of pneumoconiosis and achieve satisfactory results. However, all methods require complete and continuous information. In this paper, most of the dust pick-up plant, mine data is not complete status quo, with Pearl-Read curve mathematical model for the prediction of pneumoconiosis. 1 Materials and methods 1.1 Source of information Baotou Mining Bureau of Inner Mongolia from 1950 to 1986 all Ⅰ coal miners pneumoconiosis patients with clear history of patients with dust, X-ray examination archives, are diagnosed by the Department of Occupational Diseases in Baotou City diagnosis , And checked by pneumoconiosis.
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