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“十三五”开局之年,首季的经济社会发展成绩单备受关注。1月、2月的经济数据持续走低,国际社会对我国今年的经济情况心存担忧,标准普尔等评级公司下调了对于我国未来经济的展望预期。然而,3月份,经济数据出现了大反弹,国家统计局公布的数据显示,一季度国内生产总值同比增长6.7%,比市场预期约高一个百分点。中国以实际的经济数据表明,2016开局良好。国家统计局用十六字概括一季度经济:运行平稳、结构优化、亮点纷呈、好于预期。伴随着GDP超过预期的增长率,一些主要的经济数据也上升到一个合理的区间。物价水平的3月份数值是2.3%,1到3月份平均累计是2.2%,呈现比较理想的状态。规模以上工业增加值也超预期地回升到6.8%,固定资产投资及房地产投资均双双回升,加上3月份的出口也转负为正,增长10%以上,一些主要的经济变量都出现了好转。这份成绩单令人鼓舞。如何看待一季度经济数据?这些数据释放哪些信号?一季度经济数据的回暖对中国经济将带来怎样的影响?这种“开门红”是否会持续下去?在抵住经济下行压力的过程中,应切实做好哪些方面的改革?“十三五”的开局之年,中国经济将走出怎样的轨迹?
“Thirteen Five ” the first year, the first quarter of economic and social development transcripts are of great concern. In January and February, the economic data continued to decline. The international community was worried about the economic situation of our country this year. Ratings companies such as Standard & Poor’s lowered their expectation on the future economic situation in our country. However, in March there was a big rally in economic data. According to statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics, GDP in the first quarter increased by 6.7% over the same period of last year, which is one percentage point higher than market expectations. China shows with real economic data that 2016 has started well. National Bureau of Statistics sketches the first quarter of the economy with sixteen characters: smooth operation, structural optimization, bright spots, better than expected. With GDP above the expected rate of growth, some of the major economic data also rose to a reasonable range. In March, the price level was 2.3%, and from January to March the average cumulative value was 2.2%, showing an ideal state. Above-scale industrial added value also surpassed expectations to rebound to 6.8%. Fixed asset investment and real estate investment both rebounded. In addition, the exports in March also turned positive, up 10%, and some major economic variables improved . This transcript is encouraging. What do we think about the economic data in the first quarter? What signals are released from these data? What kind of impact will the economic rebound in the first quarter bring to the Chinese economy? Will this “good start” be sustained? In the course of resisting economic downward pressure , What should be effectively reform? “Thirteen Five ” the first year, the Chinese economy will come out of what track?