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产业发展是城镇化发展的坚实基础和根本动力,城镇化水平与产业结构水平具有较强的关联性。通过对山东省产业结构演进与城镇化水平关联效应的实证分析,可以看出山东省城镇化发展和产业结构演进都呈现出明显的阶段性特征,城镇化经历了稳步发展、加速发展和高速发展等不同阶段,产业结构演进则经历了由“二一三”阶段向“二三一”阶段的转变。城镇化发展过程与产业结构演进过程的关系十分密切,但二者并不完全一致,山东省的情况是城镇化发展水平整体上滞后于产业结构演进水平。从三次产业发展水平与城镇化水平的关联性上看,第一产业发展水平与城镇化水平呈较强的负相关性,即第一产业产值比重和就业比重的下降,对应的是城镇化水平的提升,但这并不是说明第一产业对推进城镇化发展不重要,而是说明必须要大力提高第一产业劳动生产率,这样才能有利于农村劳动力向二、三产业转移,才更加有利于城镇化的推进。第二产业和第三产业发展水平都与城镇化水平呈较强的正相关性,即第二产业和第三产业产值比重与就业比重的增加,对应的是城镇化水平的提升,并且第三产业发展水平对城镇化水平的影响要远远超过第二产业发展水平。因此,加快发展第三产业,既是山东省产业结构优化调整的大势所趋,也是山东省推进城镇化发展的客观要求。
Industrial development is a solid foundation and fundamental driving force for urbanization. The level of urbanization is strongly correlated with the level of industrial structure. Through the empirical analysis of the correlation between the evolution of industrial structure and the level of urbanization in Shandong Province, it can be seen that the urbanization and industrial structure in Shandong Province all show obvious stage characteristics. Urbanization has undergone steady development, accelerated development and rapid development And other stages, the evolution of the industrial structure has undergone a transition from the “two one three” stage to the “two one one” phase. The relationship between the process of urbanization and the evolution of industrial structure is very close, but the two are not exactly the same. In Shandong Province, the overall level of urbanization lags behind that of the industrial structure. From the perspective of the correlation between the level of industrial development and the level of urbanization, there is a strong negative correlation between the level of development of the primary industry and the level of urbanization. That is, the ratio of the output value of the primary industry to that of employment drops correspondingly to the level of urbanization However, this does not mean that the primary industry is not important for advancing urbanization, but rather that it is necessary to greatly increase the labor productivity of the primary industry in order to facilitate the transfer of rural labor to the secondary and tertiary industries and further promote urbanization Advancement. Both the secondary and tertiary industries have a strong positive correlation with the level of urbanization. That is, the proportion of output value and employment in the secondary and tertiary industries has increased, corresponding to an increase in the level of urbanization, and the third The level of industrial development on the level of urbanization far exceeds the level of development of secondary industry. Therefore, accelerating the development of the tertiary industry is not only the general trend of the optimization and readjustment of the industrial structure in Shandong Province, but also the objective requirement of promoting urbanization in Shandong Province.