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10月份统计局公布三季度GDP同比增8.9%,中国经济强劲复苏已然成共识。但与此同时,9月份中国M2同比增长率从8月份的28.5%提高至29.3%,创下近十五年来的最高水平;M_1增长率也从8月的27.7%增长到29.5%,超过了M_2的增速。经济的好转伴随着通胀隐忧的抬头,加之海外市场上澳洲央行率先升息,国内市场对于利率上行的预期加重。当月国务院会议亦提出正确处理保持经济较快发展、调整经济结构和管理好通胀预期的关系。
In October, the Bureau of Statistics announced that the third quarter GDP rose by 8.9% over the same period of last year, and the strong recovery of China’s economy has reached a consensus. In the meantime, however, China’s M2 YoY growth increased from 28.5% in August to 29.3% in September, setting the highest level in nearly 15 years. The M_1 growth rate also increased from 27.7% in August to 29.5%, surpassing M_2 The growth rate. Economic improvement With the rise of inflation worries, coupled with the Australian central bank in the overseas market took the lead in raising interest rates, the domestic market is expected to increase interest rates upward. In the same month, the State Council also proposed to correctly handle the relationship between maintaining rapid economic development, adjusting economic structure and managing inflation expectations.