中国造纸行业风险分析

• 作 者: 张小红
• 机 构: 中国社会经济系统分析研究会,
• 出 处: 国际金融
• 发表日期: 2006年08期
• 关键词: 中国造纸行业 纸板产量 人均消费量 行业运行 年平均 风险分析 消耗国 销售利润率 林纸一体化 中国纸业

一、造纸行业运行特点分析(一)产需快速增长,人均消费量稳从2002年开始,我国造纸行业产需快速增长,四年平均增速分别为15.04%和12.69%。2005年,纸与纸板产量达到5600万吨,消费量达到5930万吨,同比增速分别为13.13%和9.03%,与全球产需增速3%左右相比,我国造纸行业发展迅速,已经成为世界第二大纸张消耗国(参见表1)。

I. Analysis of Operating Characteristics of the Paper Industry (I) Rapid Growth in Production and Demand and Consumption Per Capability Since 2002, China’s paper industry has seen rapid growth in its production and demand. The average growth rate in four years was 15.04% and 12.69% respectively. In 2005, the output of paper and paperboard reached 56 million tons and the consumption reached 59.3 million tons, up 13.13% and 9.03% respectively year on year. Compared with the global growth rate of 3%, the rapid development of China’s paper industry has become The world’s second largest consumer of paper (see Table 1).