拨云去雾把握经济大势

• 作 者: 韩保江
• 出 处: 瞭望
• 发表日期: 2008年05期
• 关键词: 农副产品价格 生产过剩 发展前景 春运 经济运行 经济过热 经济运行数据 增长速度 体制机制保障 中国经济运行

当前中国宏观经济的运行态势,在各方看来可谓表象纷扰,观点纷纭。说其“过热”者有之,担心“衰退”者亦有之;说其“通胀”者有之,担心“生产过剩”者亦有之,特别是在近来股市震荡不止、中南部遭受百年不遇的大雪袭击之后,能源紧张、农副产品价格上涨、春运形势严峻等,更为当前经济运行增加了几分扑朔迷离。由此,人们对中国经济未来的发展前景多少有些担心,甚至沮丧。

At present, the operating situation of China’s macroeconomy is appalling to all parties and has divergent views. People who say that they are “overheated” are worried about the “recession”; those who say “inflation” are worried about the “overproduction”, especially in the recent stock market After more than half a century of heavy snowfall, the energy shortage, rising prices of agricultural and sideline products, and the grim situation in the Spring Festival have caused more turmoil in the economy. As a result, people are somewhat worried or even frustrated about the future development prospects of China’s economy.