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鉴于路线选择过程中驾驶员行为普遍存在的模糊性,基于模糊逻辑的分析方法,针对驾驶员的路线选择行为进行了研究。所建立的路线选择模型中,将驾驶员对路线行驶时间、距离以及安全性等指标的感知进行了模糊化处理,进而建立了解模糊化规则,并采用层次分析的推理方法对可选路线进行两两对比。在对比矩阵的基础上可计算路线各个性能的权重,进而得到路线被选择的概率。案例分析的结果表明,该模型能够有效解释驾驶员对路线的模糊感知,为驾驶员短期选择行为分析提供了一种新方法。
In view of the fuzziness of drivers’ behavior in route selection process, the driver’s route selection behavior is studied based on the fuzzy logic analysis method. The proposed route selection model fuzzily processes drivers’ perception of route travel time, distance and safety, and then establishes the rules of defuzzification, and uses the analytic hierarchy process Two contrasts. Based on the comparison matrix, the weight of each performance of the route can be calculated, and then the probability that the route is selected can be obtained. The result of case analysis shows that the model can effectively explain the drivers’ ambiguity of the route and provide a new method for the driver’s short-term behavior selection.