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本项研究应用系统动态学(System Dynamics)的理论和方法建立了某森林工业系统发展战略研究的动态仿真模型。在模型的基础上,通过计算机仿真分析定量地讨论了该森林工业系统在不同发展战略及政策下的未来发展趋势,为其森工系统制定中长期发展规划提供了科学的依据。一、动态仿真模型及其结构为了研究问题的方便,在本项研究中建立的模型主要包括有更新造林、森林资源,木
In this study, we use the theory and method of System Dynamics to establish a dynamic simulation model of the development strategy of a forest industrial system. On the basis of the model, the future development trend of the forest industrial system under different development strategies and policies is discussed quantitatively by computer simulation analysis, which provides a scientific basis for developing medium and long-term development plan of the forest industry system. First, the dynamic simulation model and its structure In order to study the convenience of the problem, the models established in this study include a reforestation, forest resources, wood