论文部分内容阅读
时空因素是影响我国旅游突发事件的重要因素。本文根据2006~2010年间我国发生的302起旅游突发事件案例,利用最优尺度方法对我国旅游突发事件的时空因素与各变量之间的关联关系及特征进行分析。最优尺度分析表明,时空因素与旅游突发事件的相关变量均呈现明显的锐角关系,时空因素变量与突发事件相关变量具有非线性典型相关性。在时间分布上,我国旅游突发事件在各时间变量上呈现明显的非平衡性和高发时间上的集中性。在空间分布上,我国旅游突发事件与宏观地域空间、要素空间、景区空间均呈紧密的锐角关系,具有较强的关联性,并在空间布局上呈现较为明显的空间差异性和单一关联性特征。本文认为,旅游地应建立基于时间尺度的风险预防管理机制,并建立基于空间针对性的风险管控体系。
The space-time factor is an important factor that affects the tourism emergency in our country. Based on the 302 cases of tourist emergencies that occurred in our country from 2006 to 2010, this paper analyzes the relationship and characteristics between the spatial and temporal factors and the variables of China’s tourism emergencies by using the optimal scale method. The optimal scale analysis shows that the spatio-temporal factors and tourism-related emergencies have obvious acute-angle relations, and the spatial-temporal factors and emergencies-related variables have nonlinear typical correlations. In terms of time distribution, China’s tourism emergencies show obvious non-equilibrium and high concentration of time on each time variable. In terms of the spatial distribution, the tourism emergencies in our country have a sharp acute angle with the macroscopic regional space, the elemental space and the scenic space, which have a strong correlation and have obvious spatial differences and single correlations in the spatial layout feature. This paper argues that tourism should establish a risk prevention and management mechanism based on time scales and establish a space-based risk management and control system.