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本文提出一个穿越副高北上的台风路径预报方案。在较严格的初始状态条件下,方案应用环境场的多种参数及其导出因子和统计天气预报方法,进行穿越副高北上台风的12～72小时路径客观预报,预报试验表明,该方案对穿越副高北上台风的路径预报具有一定的技巧。
In this paper, we propose a typhoon track forecast scheme that crosses north of the subtropical high. Under more stringent initial conditions, the program applied various parameters of the environmental field and its derivation factors and statistical weather forecasting methods to objectively predict the 12-to-72-hour path through the typhoon on the north side of the subtropical high. The forecasting experiments show that the scheme The path of subtropical high on the typhoon forecast has some skills.