股市的换届效应

• 作 者: 陈晓平 蔡珺如
• 出 处: 21世纪商业评论
• 发表日期: 2013年05期
• 关键词: 大牛市 股市行情 股票市场 一轮 于非 行清 次都 十年

过去十年,党政换届年的股票市场表现往往好于非换届年。整体市场表现从年度收益看,党的换届年股市行情表现要明显好于政府换届年和非换属年下从月度收益看,从党的全国大会当月起直到政府换届完成的下月,往往有一轮上升行清。除十七大召开时处于大牛市顶部,其他3次都走出类似行情.

In the past ten years, the performance of the stock market in the general election of the party and government has always been better than that of the non-general exchange. The overall market performance From the annual earnings perspective, the party’s general election market performance of the year is significantly better than the government for the year and non-change for the next year from the monthly revenue, from the month of the party’s National Assembly until the completion of the general government next month, there is often a Turn up the line clear. In addition to the seventeenth Congress held in the bull market at the top, the other three are out of similar market.