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自东盟自贸区建设以来,中国与东盟十国的贸易往来日益频繁。目前中国与东盟各国的交通主要依靠海运,为了更加便捷中国与东盟国家的往来,加快“丝绸之路”建设,建设一条连接中国与东盟国家的铁路就显得尤为重要。本文基于2000-2012年广西和东盟国家的数据,利用引力模型分析了云南泛亚铁路建设对广西贸易的影响。结果显示:泛亚铁路的建设对中国东盟贸易量有显著的正向影响。
Since the establishment of the ASEAN Free Trade Area, the trade between China and the 10 ASEAN countries has become increasingly frequent. At present, the transportation between China and the ASEAN countries depends mainly on maritime transport. In order to facilitate the exchanges between China and the ASEAN countries and speed up the construction of the Silk Road, it is particularly important to build a railway linking China and the ASEAN countries. Based on the data of Guangxi and ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2012, this paper analyzes the influence of the construction of Yunnan Pan-Asia Railway on Guangxi’s trade by using the gravity model. The results show that the construction of the Trans-Asian Railway has a significant positive impact on the trade volume of China-ASEAN.