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“十一五”是我国西部地区发展的一个重要时期,在这个时期要保证年平均经济增长速度9%甚至更高的速度,必须首先解决好资本保障问题。据专家预测,从2006年开始我国的资本供给将会发生四个方面的重要变化:一是国际资本流动对发展中国家的影响将会越来越大;二是我国目前的世界贸易组织优惠待遇将会全部取消;三是中央政府的国债政策将会淡出;四是民间资本将会越来越活跃。由此可见,如何提高资本供应能力,特别是如何提高民间资本的供给能力,是决定“十一五”投资增长的关键因素。
The “Eleventh Five-year Plan” is an important period for the development of the western region of our country. At this rate, to ensure that the average annual economic growth rate is 9% or more, we must first solve the issue of capital guarantee. According to experts’ prediction, since 2006, there will be four major changes in China’s capital supply: First, the impact of international capital flows on developing countries will be more and more big; Second, China’s current preferential treatment for the World Trade Organization Will be completely canceled; third, the central government’s treasury policy will fade out; fourth, private capital will become increasingly active. Thus, how to improve the capital supply capacity, especially how to improve the supply capacity of private capital, is the key factor that determines the investment growth in the “Eleventh Five-year” period.