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本文从地磁学的基本概念出发,分析了感磁效应和地震地磁相关性这两类有本质区别的预报方法。应用多年资料对幅相法、低点位移平面图法和日变形态法等三种具体的预报方法进行统计检验,认为利用幅相法和低点位移平面图法相结合预报中、强地震,特别是预报发震时间有一定的效果。最后对与变化磁场预报地震联系在一起的跨越式预报方法进行了讨论,初步认为它是建立在多种环境因素表现出来的周期性和周期性触发作用众友受环境因素的调制临震突发性异常表现出来的间断性和周期性起伏的研究之上的。
Based on the basic concepts of geomagnetism, this paper analyzes two types of forecasting methods with essential difference between magnetosensitive effect and seismic geomagnetic correlation. Based on the multi-year data, the statistical tests are carried out on three specific forecasting methods, that is, the amplitude and phase displacement method, the low-displacement displacement method and the daily deformation method. It is considered that the combination of the amplitude and phase method and the low- Seizure time have a certain effect. Finally, the leapfrogging method that is associated with the earthquake prediction of the changing magnetic field is discussed. It is preliminarily believed that it is based on the cyclical and periodic triggering displayed by various environmental factors. Sexual anomalies show intermittent and periodic fluctuations above the study.