保持价格总水平基本稳定 巩固经济企稳回升良好势头——2012年我国价格情况分析及2013年走势预测

• 作 者: 王双进
• 机 构: 财政部财政科学研究所,
• 出 处: 价格理论与实践
• 发表日期: 2013年01期
• 关键词: 走势预测 农村居民消费 运行情况分析 通胀压力 居民收入增长 货币政策 财政政策 国内外经济环境 价格改革 服务项目价格

2012年,面对复杂严峻的国内外经济环境,我国实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,正确处理稳增长、调结构和控物价的关系,整个国民经济继续保持平稳较快发展,城乡居民收入增长较快,价格总水平总体稳定,通胀压力与上年相比有所下降。预计2013年我国价格总水平上涨压力有所加大,全年价格同比涨幅约3.5%左右,略高于2012年的价格涨幅。一、2012年我国价格运行情况分析2012年,全国居民消费价格同比上涨2.6%,比上年下降2.8个百分点。其中,城市、农村居民消费价格同比分别上涨

In 2012, in face of the complicated and severe economic environment at home and abroad, China implemented a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy to properly handle the relationship between steady growth, structural adjustment and price control. The entire national economy continued to maintain a steady and rapid development. Urban and rural residents The rapid growth of income and the general stability of the general price level led to a decrease in inflationary pressure compared with the previous year. It is estimated that the upward pressure on the general price level in China will increase in 2013. The annual price will increase by about 3.5% on a year-on-year basis, slightly higher than the price increase in 2012. I. Analysis of China’s Price Operation in 2012 In 2012, the national consumer price rose by 2.6% over the same period of previous year and down 2.8 percentage points from the previous year. Among them, the urban and rural resident consumer prices rose respectively year-on-year