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本文利用现有统计数据估计了专业市场的如下发展特性:第一,以批发业务为主导功能的专业市场在中国国内流通格局中居于主导地位。第二,不同省市的商品流通对专业市场的依存度存在差异,不同省市差异化的需求模式是其根源。基于2005-2013年中国省级面板数据,我们检验了该结论中的两个命题:城镇化可降低省市商品流通对专业市场依存度,城乡人均消费支出与省市商品流通对专业市场的依存度间存在“倒U”关系。第三,不同行业商品流通对专业市场的依存度存在差异。基于2002-2008年行业面板数据的估计结果显示:行业要素密集度是引发这一差异的重要因素。
In this paper, we use the existing statistics to estimate the following development characteristics of the professional market: First, the specialized market dominated by wholesale business is dominant in China’s domestic circulation pattern. Second, the dependence of the circulation of commodities in different provinces and cities on the specialized markets is different. The demand pattern of different provinces and municipalities is the root cause. Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2005 to 2013, we test the two propositions in this conclusion: Urbanization can reduce the dependence of provincial and municipal commodity circulation on the professional market, the per capita consumption expenditure of urban and rural areas and the dependency of provincial and municipal commodity circulation on the professional market Degree between the existence of “inverted U ” relationship. Third, there is a difference in the dependence of the circulation of commodities in different industries on the professional market. Estimates based on industry panel data from 2002-2008 show that industry factor intensity is an important factor in triggering this discrepancy.