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目前,房地产市场尚未出现明显的危机预兆,但还是应该建立科学、系统的房地产预警指标体系客观、公正地评价房地产经济中所存在的各种问题,科学地测度房地产经济警情程度,是当前房地产宏观调控的一个重要内容。本文根据历年来上海市房地产行业发展的关键指标,对商品住宅进行了预警分析。目前,总量预警指标与生产类预警指标保持在警戒限度以内,但交易类和价格类预警指标与购买力指标发生了反向发展的趋势,由此导致的房地产价格过快增长可能会破坏刚刚回暖的整体行业环境,对上海市房地产乃至整体经济产生不良影响。房地产价格趋稳由于上海市政府限购令等一系列调控政策的影响,从去年年中开始,上海市房地产均价一路呈现走低态
At present, the real estate market has not yet emerged a clear sign of crisis, but it is still necessary to establish a scientific and systematic real estate warning indicator system to objectively and fairly evaluate various problems existing in the real estate economy. To scientifically measure the real estate economic situation is the current real estate An Important Content of Macro-control Based on the key indicators of real estate development in Shanghai over the years, this paper analyzes the precautionary measures of commercial residential buildings. At present, the total amount of early warning indicators and production warning indicators remain within the warning limits, but trading and price warning indicators and purchasing power indicators have undergone a reverse trend, which led to the rapid growth of real estate prices may undermine the warmer The overall industry environment, the real estate in Shanghai and the overall economy have a negative impact. Real estate prices stabilize Shanghai Municipal Government as a result of a series of restrictions on purchase and control policies, starting from the middle of last year, Shanghai real estate average price all the way down