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2010年全年,国际原油市场呈宽幅振荡走势,价格主要运行区间在70～85美元/桶,从走势来看,70美元的底部支撑相当坚实。2011年,国际原油市场的金融属性继续弱化,政治因素成为油价幕后推手,而对油价的控制也将通过原油市场的供需面变化来达成。根据我们对供需的分析,2011年国际原油市场将演绎牛市行情,油价重心继续上移,主要运行区间在70～95美元/桶,均价85美元,年内或可见百元高位。
In the whole year of 2010, the international crude oil market showed a wide oscillating trend. The main operating range of the price was between 70-85 USD / barrel. From the trend point of view, the bottom support of 70 US $ was quite solid. In 2011, the financial attributes of the international crude oil market continued to weaken. Political factors became the push behind the price of oil, and the control of oil prices will also be achieved through changes in the supply and demand of the crude oil market. According to our analysis of supply and demand, the international crude oil market will perform a bull market in 2011. The oil price center of gravity will continue to move up. The main operating range is at 70-95 USD / barrel and the average price is 85 US $. During the year, we may see a hundred-dollar high.