Application of the Support Vector Machine on Precipitation-Runoff modeling in Fenhe River

来源 :The Third International Symposium of IAHS-PUB-CHINA :Predict | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:oogt715
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  The Support Vector Machine (SVM), a novel artificial intelligence-based method developed from statistical learning theory, is adopted herein to establish rainfall-runoff relationships model.The lags associated with the input variables are determined by applying the hydrological concept of the response time, and a trial-and-error with cross-validation was used to derive the support vector machine (SVM) model parameters.The purpose of this study is to develop a parsimonious model used little observation gage that accurately simulates semi-arid regions by using the SVM model.The rainfall-runoff relations were treated as a non-linear input/output system to simulate the response of runoff to precipitation and applied the model to the upstream of the Fenhe River, the branch of the Yellow River (China), a representative of watershed in a semiarid area.The precipitation-runoff relationships on these regions were studied by using SVM model.Moreover, the SVM model was compared with a previous ANN model and it was found that the SVM model performed better.Results obtained for the continuous period of monthly and daily in flood season and non-flood season showed that runoff forecasts of daily time step were better in non-flood season than those made in flood season and monthly runoff forecasts.It suggests that the SVM model and the developed method proposed are convenient and practical for semi-arid regions.
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