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从耦合理论入手,以产业集聚理论、生态环境理论、系统科学理论为基础,构建耦合度、耦合协调度模型,运用协整检验、Granger检验、曲线估计模型等,探讨海洋产业集聚与生态环境的耦合响应关系作用机制及动态耦合关系。研究表明:山东半岛蓝色经济区(以下简称蓝区)海洋产业集聚系统与生态环境系统之间存在长期稳定的耦合交互作用,其耦合协调状态虽然得到了明显的改善,且已初步趋于协调发展状态,但是耦合发展水平较低,仍处在初级协调发展阶段。
Starting from the coupling theory, this paper constructs the coupling degree and the coupling coordination degree model based on industrial agglomeration theory, ecological environment theory and system science theory, and uses the cointegration test, Granger test and curve estimation model to discuss the relationship between marine industrial agglomeration and ecological environment Coupling Response Mechanism and Dynamic Coupling Relationship. The results show that there is a long-term and steady coupling interaction between the marine industrial agglomeration system and eco-environmental system in the Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone (hereinafter referred to as the Blue Zone), although the coupling and coordination status has been significantly improved and has initially tended to be coordinated Development status, but the low level of coupling development is still in the primary stage of coordinated development.