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确保我国今年GDP增长率达到8％及未来经济能够稳定增长,既是全国的经济目标,更是政治任务,压力之大是最近几年无法相比的。究竟采取什么样的有效政策才能实现上述目标,仁者见仁,智者见智。近年来,货币政策一直是我国政府在保持宏观经济稳定方面所使用的有效政策手段,但自宏观经济实现软着陆以来,货币政策在防止经济增长继续下滑方面的效果与宏观调控初期迅速遏制经济过热和通货膨胀加剧的成效相比,就很不理想。1996年以来,央行连续四次降息和降低商业银行存款准备金率,前后时间跨度长达两年多,但我国经济综合景气并未随之而上升,增长速度仍在继续下滑,且出现加速的征兆。据统计,今年1～3月份,全国完成工业增加值4421亿元,比上年同期增长8.2％,增长幅度比上年同期回落2.8个百分点。一季度工业产品
Ensuring that our country’s GDP growth rate will reach 8% this year and that the future economic growth will be stable will not only be the country’s economic goal but also its political task. The pressure is too great to compare in recent years. What kind of effective policy should be adopted to achieve the above objectives? In recent years, monetary policy has always been an effective policy instrument used by our government in maintaining macroeconomic stability. However, since the macroeconomy achieved a soft landing, the effect of monetary policy on preventing the economic growth from continuing to decline and the rapid macro-economic control in the initial stage of macroeconomic control quickly stopped overheating Compared with the worsening effect of inflation, it is far from satisfactory. Since 1996, the central bank cut interest rates four times in a row and reduced the deposit reserve ratio of commercial banks for more than two years before and after, but the overall economic prosperity of our country has not risen. The growth rate has continued to decline and has accelerated. sign. According to statistics, in the first three months of this year, the industrial added value of the whole country was 442.1 billion yuan, an increase of 8.2% over the same period of last year and the growth rate dropped 2.8 percentage points over the same period of last year. First quarter industrial products