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本文论述了近几年国内外钼的消费动向,国内钼工业特别是地方钼企业盲目扩产的情景。从钼消费量与钢产量历年的比例关系分析入手,提出了我国1990年、1995年和2000年钼的需求量预测指标。还从分析世界钼的生产形势、库存量、钼价等因素入手,预测了我国钼的出口前景,和“八五”、“九五”期间钼产量发展的水平,并研究了我国今后钼业发展的对策:包括加强国内外市场调查研究:近期内我国不宜再扩大或新建钼矿山,扩大钼在国内应用以及努力降低生产成本,增强出口创汇能力等内容。总的观点,对我国钼工业只能采取稳步发展的方针,不能盲目扩产,今后应着重在内涵上做工作。
This article discusses the domestic and foreign molybdenum consumption trends in recent years, the domestic molybdenum industry, especially the blind expansion of molybdenum enterprises scene. Starting from the analysis of the ratio of the consumption of molybdenum and steel production over the years, this paper put forward the demand forecast of molybdenum in China in 1990, 1995 and 2000. Also from the analysis of the world molybdenum production situation, inventory, molybdenum prices and other factors to start with, predict the export prospects of China’s molybdenum, and the “Eighth Five-Year” period, the level of molybdenum production during the development and study of China’s future molybdenum Measures for development: including strengthening domestic and international market research: In the near future, it is not appropriate for our country to further expand or build molybdenum mines, expand the application of molybdenum in the country and strive to reduce production costs and enhance the ability to earn foreign exchange through exports. The general point of view, the molybdenum industry in our country can only adopt the principle of steady development, can not blindly expand their production, the future should focus on content to do the work.