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2003年,中国经济经受住了“非典”和伊拉克战争的两大冲击,依然保持了较快的发展速度,这表明新一届政府有很强的应对危机和宏观调控能力,也说明我国经济自主增长的能力在不断提高。尽管从全局上看,尚谈不上经济过热,但结构性过热问题确实存在,需要适度的局部微调和深化体制改革。考虑到明年世界经济可能会有所好转,国内总需求也将保持稳中有升的趋势,我们判断2004年我国经济发展很可能会好于今年,增长速度也可能有所提高。
In 2003, the Chinese economy was able to withstand the two major strikes of “SARS” and the war in Iraq and still maintained a relatively fast pace of development. This shows that the new government has a strong ability to cope with crises and macro-control and also shows that China’s economic autonomy The ability to grow is constantly improving. Although the economic overheating can not be said in a holistic way, the structural overheating problem does exist and requires proper local fine-tuning and deepening of the system reform. Taking into account that the world economy may turn around next year, the total domestic demand will also maintain a steady upward trend. We judge that China’s economic development in 2004 will probably be better than this year and the growth rate may also increase.