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我国区域差异日益严重,其消费规模和消费结构也表现出显著差异。消费需求是经济增长的助推器,而货币财政政策是协调区域经济发展的重要的宏观经济政策。所以本文结合了目前东中西部地带消费支出的不协调现状,通过两地区简约化模型建立一个包含政府投资、银行贷款、产出和东中西三地区消费支出等变量在内的动态自回归分布滞后计量模型。结果表明我国的货币财政政策对消费支出确实存在区域不对称性效应,特别是与货币政策相比,财政政策对消费支出的作用更大。
The regional differences in our country have become more and more serious, and their consumption scale and consumption structure also show significant differences. Consumer demand is a booster of economic growth, while monetary and fiscal policies are important macroeconomic policies that coordinate the development of regional economy. Therefore, this paper combines the present uncoordinated status quo of consumer spending in the eastern, central and western regions and establishes a dynamic autoregressive distribution lag behind variables such as government investment, bank loans, output and consumption expenditures in the eastern, central and western regions through the simplified model of the two regions Metrology model. The result shows that there is indeed a regional asymmetric effect on China’s monetary and fiscal policies on consumer spending. Especially, compared with monetary policy, fiscal policy has a greater effect on consumer spending.