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外国直接投资对国际贸易的影响一直是学术界普遍关注的问题。本文采用引力模型,对14个主要投资国1984年至2004年对华投资与双边贸易的关系进行了实证分析,发现我国引进的外国直接投资总体上促进了贸易的增长,但是各国直接投资对双边贸易的影响却有着明显差异。日本、美国、韩国、德国、我国台湾地区和我国香港地区的外国直接投资是贸易促进型的,我国澳门地区、马来西亚、加拿大、法国、澳大利亚、荷兰、英国和新加坡的外国直接投资是贸易替代型的。
The impact of foreign direct investment on international trade has always been a common concern in academia. This paper uses a gravity model to analyze the relationship between investment from China and bilateral trade from 14 major investment countries from 1984 to 2004. It is found that the foreign direct investment brought in by our country promotes the growth of trade as a whole. However, The impact of trade is obviously different. Foreign direct investment in Japan, the United States, South Korea, Germany, Taiwan in China and Hong Kong in our country is trade-facilitating, and foreign direct investment in Macao, China, Malaysia, France, Australia, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Singapore is a trade substitute of.