Future impacts of climate change on forest fire danger in northeastern China

• 作 者: TIAN Xiao-rui SHU Li-fu ZHAO F
• 机 构: State, Research Institute of Forest Ecology,Natural Resources Canada
• 出 处: 林业研究（英文版）
• 发表日期: 2004年期
• 关键词: climate change fire season forest fire danger northeastern China

Climate warming has a rapid and far-reaching impact on forest fire management in the boreal forests of China. Regional climate model outputs and the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) Sys- tern were used to analyze changes to fire danger and the fire season for future periods under IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2, and the data will guide future fire management planning. We used regional climate in China (1961-1990) as our validation data, and the period (1991-2100) was modeled under SRES A2 and B2 through the weather simulated by the regional climate model system (PRECIS). Meteorological data and fire danger were interpolated to 1 km