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改革开放以来,我国轴承产品出口贸易快速增长。本文运用恒定市场份额模型(CMS),对我国轴承产品出口增长效应进行分析,以寻找出口增长的主要原因。分析结果表明,进口国的需求扩大是我国轴承产品出口持续增长的主要因素;商品结构效应和竞争力效应对出口的阻碍作用逐渐减小,且对2006~2008年期间的出口增长具有重要作用。对竞争力效应的近一步分解发现,体现我国劳动力资源禀赋特征的劳动密集型传统优势轴承产品竞争力效应不足,而技术密集型产品竞争力效应增长。并对提高我国轴承产品国际竞争力,实现可持续增长提出粗浅见解。
Since the reform and opening up, the export growth of China’s bearing products has been rapidly growing. This paper uses the constant market share model (CMS) to analyze the effect of export growth of China’s bearing products in order to find the main reasons for the export growth. The analysis shows that the expansion of demand in importing countries is the main factor for the sustained growth of China’s export of bearing products. The impeding effect of the commodity structure and competitiveness on exports has been gradually diminishing, which plays an important role in the export growth during 2006-2008. The further decomposition of the competitive effect found that the competitiveness of labor-intensive traditional superiority bearing products, which embodies the characteristics of labor resources endowment in our country, is not sufficient and the competitiveness of technology-intensive products increases. And to improve China’s international competitiveness of bearing products, to achieve sustainable growth put forward rough ideas.