论文部分内容阅读
根据近年来俄罗斯经济改革和经济形势的发展情况，可对转轨以来及今后一段时期俄经济发展轨迹作如下描述：１９９２－１９９６年，俄实行“休克疗法”式经济改革，生产持续下降，综合国力锐减；从１９９７年到本世纪末，俄经济将走出谷底，逐步趋于稳定，也有可能出现微弱增长，但不会有较快地回升；从下世纪初开始，俄经济将步入稳步增长时期，但增长速度估计不会太快，充其量只能达到７％的增长率，要实现经济恢复的目标，大约需要１０年左右的时间；到下世纪２０年代，如果俄政局不发生历史性变化，经济改革任务能如期完成，俄的“经济强国”之梦将会变成现实，俄将重新跨入世界经济强国的行列
According to the economic reforms in Russia in recent years and the development of the economic situation, the trajectory of Russian economy since the transition and some time in the future may be described as follows: In 1992-1996, Russia implemented the “shock therapy” type of economic reform, the production continued to decline, and the overall national strength Sharp decline; from 1997 to the end of this century, the Russian economy will be out of the trough, gradually stabilized, there may be slight growth, but not a quick rebound; from the beginning of the next century, the Russian economy will enter a period of steady growth However, it is estimated that the rate of growth will not be too fast. At best, it will only reach a growth rate of 7%. It will take about 10 years to achieve the goal of economic recovery. By the 1920s, if the Russian Political Council does not undergo any historic changes, The task of economic reform can be completed on schedule, the dream of “economic powerhouse” by Russia will become a reality, and Russia will once again enter the ranks of the world economic powerhouse.