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本文选取了我国统计年鉴的相关数据,在假设城镇登记失业率缺口与实际就业缺口成倍数关系的条件下,研究了经济增长率和失业率之间的关系,建立了扩展的奥肯定律滞后模型,分析了我国的就业和经济增长之间的关系,并利用城镇登记失业率缺口与实际就业缺口的倍数关系,估计我国的实际失业率大约是城镇登记失业率的5.16倍左右。
This paper selects the relevant data of China's Statistical Yearbook. Under the assumption of a multiple of the gap between registered urban unemployment rate and actual employment gap, this paper studies the relationship between economic growth rate and unemployment rate and establishes an extended Lagrange model of Okun's Law , Analyzes the relationship between employment and economic growth in our country and makes use of the multiple relationship between the urban registered unemployment gap and the actual employment gap. It is estimated that the actual unemployment rate in our country is about 5.16 times of the registered urban unemployment rate.