The Application of a Grey Markov Model to Forecasting Annual Maximum Water Levels at Hydrological St

• 作 者: DONG Sheng CHI Kun ZHANG Qiyi
• 机 构: CollegeofEngineering
• 出 处: 中国海洋大学学报：英文版
• 发表日期: 2012年1期
• 关键词: 年最高水位 模型预测 灰色系统 水文站 马尔可夫模型 应用 河口地区 马尔可夫理论 Grey Markov Model forecasting estuary
• 基金项目: supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （50879085）, the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University（NCET-07-0778）, the Key Technology Research Project of Dynamic Envi

Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model