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旅游供给侧改革与灰色预测研究,有助于改变旅游发展理念、改革旅游经济增长方式,从而发挥旅游产业对相关产业的综合拉动效应,本文选取了贵州省2005年至2016年旅游业统计数据,以贵州省旅游总人数和旅游总收入为研究变量,利用MATLAB计算GM(1,1)模型,通过误差分析、模型精度及残差检验、外推预测与修正等,结果显示未来几年贵州省旅游总人数与总收入保持呈持续增长趋势。最后,基于供给侧改革及全域旅游视域下,提出降低旅游产业供给价格、培
Tourism supply-side reform and gray forecasting research will help to change the concept of tourism development and reform the mode of tourism economic growth, so as to give full play to the comprehensive pulling effect of tourism industry on related industries. This paper selects tourism statistics from 2005 to 2016 in Guizhou Province, Taking the total number of tourists and the total tourism revenue in Guizhou as the research variables, the GM (1,1) model is calculated by using MATLAB. Through error analysis, model accuracy and residual test, extrapolation prediction and correction, the results show that in the next few years, The total number of tourists and total income maintained a continuous upward trend. Finally, under the perspective of supply-side reform and global tourism, we propose to reduce the supply price of tourism industry,