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利用系统动力学方法建立了我国钢铁工业发展动态仿真模型,研究了到本世纪末我国钢材需求供给规模及科技进步贡献等问题,提出了钢铁工业发展的政策及战略设想,为钢铁工业“八五”计划和十年规划的制订提供了依据。
This paper established the dynamic simulation model of the development of China’s iron and steel industry by means of system dynamics and studied the problems such as the supply scale of steel products and the contribution of scientific and technological progress to the end of this century and put forward the policies and strategic assumptions for the development of the steel industry. Plans and ten-year plan to provide the basis for the formulation.