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尽管从现在到年底还有整整一个季度的时间,但正如常言所说的那样:一叶而知秋。从目前的经济运行及政策运作来看,今年经济增长格局的大势基本已定:今年经济增长的实际水平会高于中央年初确定的指导性增长目标(7％)。根据我们的预测结果,今年的GDP增长率将达到7.2％,并呈现出上(半年)高下(半年)低的分布特点。 尽管这样一个增长速度与去年相比仍然表现出滑坡的态势,但是,在目前我国经济结构调整
Although there is an entire quarter between now and the end of the year, as the saying goes: One leaf knows what to expect. Judging from the current economic operation and policy operation, the general trend of the pattern of economic growth this year has basically been set. The actual level of economic growth this year will be higher than the target of 7% set by the central government at the beginning of the year. According to our forecast, GDP growth will reach 7.2% this year, showing a low (six months) high (half a year) distribution. Although such a growth rate still shows a trend of decline compared with last year, however, at present, China’s economic restructuring