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2010年,中国将进入后工业社会,高科技和软性经济产业将在国民经济发展中具有举足轻重的地位。中国(包括港澳台)的经济总量(GNP)将超过美国(按购买力平价法计算),成为世界第一经济大国,人均国民生产总值将达到6000-8000美元,成为新兴的中等发达国家;对外贸易总额将超过3万亿美元,成为世界第二号贸易大国(仅次于美国);中国有20-30家大工业集团跻身于世界500强,中国的跨国公司进入世界各大洲的主要国家。中国产业结构进入第二次大调整:由资本密集型转向技术密集型。十大新兴产业崭露头角。一、信息产业1、低轨道卫星传输的全球统一的信息网络系统形成,中国成为全球信息网络系统的最大用户和成员国。2、信息网络终端将进入50-60%的城市家庭,家庭办公室开始流行。3、电子邮件、电子出版物、电子艺术品已网络化,
In 2010, China will enter the post-industrial society. High-tech and soft-economy industries will play a decisive role in the development of the national economy. China (including Hong Kong, Maucao and Taiwan) will have more GNP than the United States (measured by the purchasing power parity method) and become the world’s No. 1 economic power with a per capita GNP of 6,000-8,000 U.S. dollars, becoming a newly emerging medium-sized developed country. The total foreign trade volume will exceed 3 trillion U.S. dollars and become the second largest trading nation in the world (second only to the United States); 20-30 large industrial groups in China rank among the top 500 in the world and multinational Chinese companies enter major countries on all continents . China’s industrial structure into the second major adjustment: from capital-intensive to technology-intensive. Ten emerging industries emerge. I. Information Industry 1. The global unified information network system of low-orbit satellite transmission has formed. China has become the largest user and member of the global information network system. 2, the information network terminal will enter the city of 50-60% of households, home office became popular. 3, e-mail, electronic publications, electronic works of art has been networked,