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城市化与产业结构的演进是互为影响、相互促进的,产业结构的优化升级能带动城市化水平的提高,而城市化的快速发展也能推动产业结构不断调整。基于潍坊市1990—2013年城市化与产业结构的数据,运用VAR模型对城市化与产业结构演进的关系进行了研究。研究结果表明,潍坊市城市化与产业结构演进之间存在相关关系,第一产业与城市化水平之间存在并不明显的负向关系,而第二产业和第三产业的发展对城市化水平的提高起到带动作用。据此,建议潍坊市优化第二产业,提升先进制造业和高新技术产业;加快发展第三产业,重点发展科技、金融、文化创意等新兴高端服务业;优化升级第一产业,促进农业产业化、市场化。
The evolution of urbanization and industrial structure are mutually influential and mutually reinforcing. The optimization and upgrading of industrial structure can promote the improvement of urbanization level, and the rapid urbanization can promote the continuous adjustment of industrial structure. Based on the data of urbanization and industrial structure in Weifang from 1990 to 2013, the relationship between urbanization and industrial structure evolution was studied by VAR model. The results show that there is a relationship between the urbanization and the evolution of industrial structure in Weifang City. There is not obvious negative relationship between the primary industry and the urbanization level. However, the development of the secondary and tertiary industries has an impact on the urbanization level Improve play a leading role. Accordingly, it is suggested that Weifang optimize the secondary industry and upgrade the advanced manufacturing and high-tech industries; accelerate the development of the tertiary industry and focus on the development of emerging high-end service industries such as science and technology, finance and cultural creativity; optimize and upgrade the primary industry and promote the industrialization of agriculture , Market-oriented.