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目的 对医院收容量进行预测。方法 应用线性回归和秩和比法。结果 对某院 1990年～ 1998年收容人数进行了分析预测。结论 本法简洁、直观 ,预测误差小 ,能为医院管理和决策提供科学依据 ,是一种较好的预测方法。
Objective To predict hospital capacity. Methods Apply linear regression and rank sum ratio method. Results The number of the shelters in a hospital from 1990 to 1998 was analyzed and predicted. Conclusion This method is simple, intuitive, and has small prediction error. It can provide scientific basis for hospital management and decision making. It is a better prediction method.