美国经济集约化长波

• 作 者: 伊·特罗费莫娃 陈宁
• 出 处: 国际经济评论
• 发表日期: 1992年09期
• 关键词: 经济集约化 增长速度 生产率增长 劳动生产率水平 就业人数 经济管理系统 国内生产总值 科技进步 制造业公司 技术结构

近十年来,经济长波理论成为最热门和被积极研究的理论之一。经济学家们试图借助这个理论来弄清长期增长的规律、经济活力长期涨落交替的制约因素,以及预见未来发展的特点。尽管这个理论迄今由于统计数据的不充分,以及由于其拥护者们在重要问题,如长波的产生、长波的分期、长波转折点的逻辑等问题上没有一致看法而没有得到普遍承认,但所有经济指标的动态实际上都记录下了相对同步的长期波动,并因而认同了几个波。

In the recent decade, the theory of economic longwave has become one of the hottest and actively studied theories. Economists try to use this theory to understand the law of long-term growth, the constraints of long-term fluctuations in economic vitality and the characteristics of the future development. Although this theory so far has not been generally acknowledged due to inadequate statistical data and lack of agreement on the issues of long-wave creation, long-wave staging, long-wave turning point, etc., among its advocates, all economic indicators The dynamics actually record the long-term fluctuations of relative synchronization and therefore agree on several waves.