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落后地区经济的持续增长能力取决于现代产业开发的成效。作者通过分析巴西中央银行和联邦政府发展、工业与外贸部的统计数据,发现在巴西政府重点开发东北区和北方区40多年后,它们的现代产业得到了较快的发展,主要表现为对外招商引资取得了明显成效,区域出口额大幅度增长,涉外企业人均出口额步入全国前列。笔者同时发现,这两个落后区域目前引进外资的规模尚小,不足以带动区域经济的大幅度增长。笔者认为,如果假以时日和执行政策的延续性,巴西落后地区的现代产业可望提高支撑区域经济持续增长的能力。
The ability of a backward region to sustain its economic growth depends on the effectiveness of modern industrial development. By analyzing the statistical data of the Central Bank of Brazil and the Federal Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade, the author finds that after the Brazilian government focused on the development of the northeast and northern regions for more than 40 years, their modern industries have enjoyed rapid development, mainly manifested as foreign investment Significant achievements have been made in attracting foreign investment. Regional exports have risen sharply. The per capita export volume of foreign-related enterprises has entered the forefront of the country. At the same time, the author also found that the scale of the current introduction of foreign investment in these two backward regions is still small, which is not enough to promote the substantial growth of the regional economy. The author believes that if time passes and policy continuity is implemented, the modern industries in the backward areas of Brazil are expected to increase their ability to support the sustained growth of the regional economy.