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2003年。中国宏观经济运行延续着2002年以来的良好态势,从国际油价、外贸外资、股汇市以及相关行业等方面来分折,“倒萨”战争必然对中国实体经济带来一定的负面效应。但基于美国较快取得战争胜利的判断,短期内战争对中国经济发展的不利影响不会很大。 一、战争对中国经济的直接损害首推石油价格上涨。去年下半年以来国际油价居高不下必然给中国经济增长带来负面影响。 二、战争对我国出口有一定影响,但程度有限。开战后,战火蔓延不仅直接影响中国在伊拉克等中东地
Year 2003. China’s macroeconomic operation has continued its good momentum since 2002, breaking through the international oil prices, foreign trade and foreign exchange market, stock exchange market and other related industries. The “renegade” war will inevitably bring about some negative effects on China’s real economy. However, judging by the fact that the United States has quickly gained the victory in the war, the adverse impact of the war on China’s economy in the short-term will not be significant. First, the direct impact of the war on China’s economy is the first to push up oil prices. The high international oil prices since the second half of last year will inevitably have a negative impact on China’s economic growth. Second, the war on our exports have a certain impact, but to a limited extent. After the war, the spread of the war not only directly affected China in the Middle East such as Iraq