论文部分内容阅读
在辨析房地产和房地产业的基础上,本文运用1997、2000、2002、2005、2007年的投入产出表,计算房地产业的影响力系数和感应度系数,发现房地产业的影响力系数远低于平均水平,且该系数从2000年起逐次降低,说明房地产业的带动作用较弱且这种带动作用呈现不断下降的态势;房地产业的感应度系数也远低于各行业平均水平,意味着房地产业对国民经济的推动作用比较小,难以通过房地产业有效推动整体国民经济的增长。因此,所谓“房地产业关联度高,带动力强”的说法没有依据;与其他产业相比,房地产业的带动和推动作用是逐渐降低的。这些发现的政策意义是,国民经济的各个产业都是重要产业,政府不必先入为主地认定房地产业在过去、现在或将来肯定是关联度高、带动力强的产业,也不必为此而出台倾斜性的培育政策以促进该产业成为所谓的支柱产业。
Based on the analysis of real estate and real estate, this paper uses the input-output tables of 1997, 2000, 2002, 2005 and 2007 to calculate the influence coefficient and the sensitivity coefficient of real estate industry, and finds that the coefficient of influence of real estate is much lower than Average, and the coefficient decreased gradually from 2000 onwards, indicating that the driving force of the real estate industry is weak and this driving role has shown a declining trend; the real estate industry’s sensitivity coefficient is far below the average level of various industries, which means that real estate The promotion of the national economy by the industry is relatively small and it is difficult to effectively promote the growth of the national economy through the real estate industry. Therefore, the so-called “real estate industry has a high correlation, strong driving force ” is not based on the argument; compared with other industries, the real estate industry to promote and promote role is gradually reduced. The significance of these discoveries is that all industries in the national economy are important industries. The government does not have to preconceived that the real estate industry in the past, now or in the future will certainly be a highly relevant and impetus industry, nor will it have to be inclined to do so Nurturing policies to promote the industry as the so-called pillar industry.