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改革开发以来 ,中国国债发行规模逐年扩大 ,国债已影响到了国民经济的各个层面 .国债发行规模适度问题已成为国债研究的中心问题 .影响我国国债发行规模的最主要因素是什么 ?怎样度量中国国债的适度规模 ?这些问题已引起理论界的广泛注意 ,但迄今未有定论 .本文采用现代经济计量及统计分析方法 ,对国债发行与国民经济发展之间的关系进行了定量分析 ,得出国债发行对国民经济发展的积极推动作用 .希望所得结论能对国债规模管理提供参考 .本文是以“实际数据蕴涵着规律”观点为基础 ,从三方面定量探索了国债发行与国民经济发展的关系
Since the reform and opening up, the scale of issuance of China’s national debt has been expanded year by year, and the national debt has affected all aspects of the national economy. The issue of moderation of the national debt has become the central issue of the study of national debt. What are the main factors that affect the scale of the issuance of national debt? These problems have aroused widespread attention of the theoretical circles, but so far there is no conclusion.This paper uses the methods of modern economic measurement and statistical analysis, the quantitative analysis of the relationship between the national debt issuance and the development of national economy, come to the issue of national debt Which can promote the development of the national economy and hope that the conclusion can provide a reference for the scale management of the national debt.This paper is based on the view that “the actual data implies the law”, and quantitatively explores the relationship between the issue of national debt and the development of national economy from three aspects