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文化信息产业堪称为是21世纪全球经济一体化时代当中的黄金产业,目前己经成为我国的重要支柱产业和主导产业。本文基于向量自回归(VAR)模型、冲击响应函数模型以及方差分解等计量经济工具,基于我国2001年第1季度到2010年第4季度的时间范围内,文化信息产业机构数季度同比增长率、文化信息产业从业人员数季度同比增长率以及实际GDP季度同比增长率季度数据,详细分析我国文化信息产业发展与宏观经济增长之间的关联性问题。本文所获得的实证研究结果能够为推动我国文化信息产业发展以及宏观经济持续稳定增长提供富有价值的经验证据。
The cultural and information industry can be regarded as the golden industry in the era of global economic integration in the 21st century and has now become an important pillar industry and a leading industry in our country. Based on the quantitative auto-regressive (VAR) model, impulse response function model and variance decomposition econometric tools, based on the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010 within the time frame, the number of cultural and information industry institutions in the first quarter quarter-on-year growth rate, Cultural quarterly growth rate of employees in the information industry and real quarterly quarterly quarterly quarterly GDP growth rate, a detailed analysis of the relationship between the development of China’s cultural and information industry and macroeconomic growth issues. The empirical results obtained in this paper can provide valuable empirical evidence to promote the development of China’s cultural information industry and the sustained and steady growth of the macroeconomy.