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在这一周的会议时间里,我们已看到了一些工业矿物激动人心的发展前景,但遗憾的是,我的任务只是谈谈关于2000年石棉工业的展望。本文对从现在到2000年这一段较长时间内,世界市场对石棉需求量的前景进行了分析。石棉的主要消费国提出了对石棉水泥和非石棉水泥市场前景的预测。在提出这些预测的过程中,对供求两方面的基本因素进行了分析,这些因素包括世界经济状况、使用密度、污染问题和石棉在工业化国家中不断变化的最终工业用途。同时,本文还分析了在工业化国家中已经发生或正在发生的污染问题及对石棉工业政策的变化问题,以便探讨这两个因素对发展中国家石棉需求量的影响。本文分为四部分:(一)对世界石棉工业的历史回顾;(二)转折点;(三)在将来能生存吗?(四)2000年的展望。
During this week’s meeting, we have seen some exciting development prospects for industrial minerals, but unfortunately, my task is just to talk about the outlook for the asbestos industry in 2000. This article analyzes the prospects of asbestos demand in the world market for a long period from now to 2000. The main consumer countries of asbestos have put forward the forecast for the market prospects of asbestos cement and non-asbestos cement. In the process of proposing these forecasts, the basic factors of both supply and demand were analyzed. These factors include the world economic conditions, use density, pollution issues and the ever-changing final industrial use of asbestos in industrialized countries. At the same time, the paper also analyzes the pollution problems that have occurred or are occurring in industrialized countries and the changes in the asbestos industry policy in order to explore the impact of these two factors on the demand for asbestos in developing countries. This article is divided into four parts: (a) a historical review of the asbestos industry in the world; (b) a turning point; (c) can survive in the future? (iv) the outlook for the year 2000.