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传统国际贸易理论几乎都把充分就业作为基本前提,这明显与现实不相符合。广东是外贸大省,同时也是一个就业大省。实证分析表明,广东省的进口和出口都是就业的Granger原因。广东出口增加1%,广东城镇就业增加0.76%;进口增加1%,广东城镇就业减少0.77%。就业是民生之本,我们要实行更加有利于促进就业和减少失业的对外贸易政策,将促进国内就业作为制定、调整货物和服务进出口政策以及处理贸易争端的重要依据。
Almost all traditional theories of international trade regard full employment as the basic premise, which is obviously not in conformity with reality. Guangdong is a major foreign trade province and also a major employment province. Empirical analysis shows that the import and export of Guangdong Province are Granger causes of employment. Exports in Guangdong increased by 1%, employment in Guangdong increased by 0.76%, imports by 1% and employment by cities and towns in Guangdong decreased by 0.77%. Employment is the basis of people’s livelihood. We must implement a foreign trade policy that is more conducive to promoting employment and reducing unemployment. We will promote domestic employment as an important basis for formulating and adjusting policies on the import and export of goods and services and for handling trade disputes.