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根据湖北省１９８０—１９９４年的渔业生产实绩统计资料，选用有代表性的养殖产量比重、渔业产值比重、渔劳人均产值、水产品人均拥有量和水产品收购量５个要素，分别确定其权重后计算渔业持续发展的总指数和预测模式。据此，对湖北１９９５—２０００年渔业持续发展进行预测。预测结果与农业部制订的全国中、长期渔业发展规划以及下达给湖北省的渔业生产指标相一致。
According to the statistical data of actual production of fishery in Hubei Province during 1980-1994, five factors including the proportion of aquaculture output, the proportion of fishery output, the per capita output of fishery, the per capita possession of aquatic products and the purchase amount of aquatic products are selected, After calculating the total fisheries sustainable development index and forecasting model. Based on this, we forecast the sustainable development of fisheries in Hubei from 1995 to 2000. The forecast results are in line with the national medium and long-term fisheries development plans formulated by the Ministry of Agriculture and fishery production indicators issued to Hubei Province.