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从条件收敛的角度来说,中国的GDP增长率从1990年起就保持在惊人的高水平。中国被视为中等收入收敛成功的案例。从25个国家从1870年的长期数据来看,对数人均GDP的分散度不存在趋势性,这组数据中不包含中国和印度等新兴市场国家。从34个国家从1896年的分散度数据来看,1980年后有明显的降低趋势,反映出中国和印度的市场开放给世界市场经济带来的变化。
From a conditional convergence point of view, China’s GDP growth rate has been at an alarmingly high level since 1990. China is seen as a successful middle-income convergence case. From the long-term data of 25 countries from 1870, there is no trend in the dispersion of per-capita GDP, which does not include emerging market countries such as China and India. Judging from the scatter data of 34 countries from 1896, there is a marked downward trend after 1980, reflecting the changes brought about by the market opening up in China and India to the world market economy.