论文部分内容阅读
1991～ 1999年 ,拉美经济年均增长 3 .2 % ,人均产值年均增长 1.5 % ,依然是在较低的水平上徘徊。拉美经济 90年代运行的突出特点是两起两落 ,呈现出明显的周期性。从拉美地区经济 90年代的运行情况和当前存在的问题来看 ,对今后一段时间拉美经济前景产生影响的主要因素有 :经济改革的指导思想和政策取向 ;经济周期的变动 ;国际环境的变化 ;拉美国家间的不平衡发展 ;在预测整个拉美地区的经济前景时 ,对于拉美国家间的不平衡发展这个因素始终不能忽略。基于上述几方面的因素 ,估计在下个 10年中 ,会有更多的拉美国家达到 6%的年增长率 ,整个地区的平均增长率将高于 90年代 ,很可能是在 4%至 5 %之间。
From 1991 to 1999, the average annual growth rate of Latin American economy was 3.2%. The per capita output value increased by 1.5% annually, still hovering at a relatively low level. The salient features of the Latin American economy running in the 1990s have been twosides and tumble, showing obvious periodicity. According to the operation of the economy in Latin America in the 1990s and the current problems, the main factors influencing Latin America’s economic prospects for some time to come are: guiding ideology and policy orientation of economic reform; changes in the economic cycle; changes in the international environment; The imbalanced development among Latin American countries; in forecasting the economic prospects of the entire Latin American region, the imbalanced development among Latin American countries has always been neglected. Based on the above factors, it is estimated that in the next 10 years, more Latin American countries will achieve an annual growth rate of 6%. The average growth rate of the entire region will be higher than that of the 1990s. It is likely to be between 4% and 5% between.