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现在,无论苏联,还是其他经济发达国家,都越来越重视长期科学技术预测问题。详细拟制长期科技预测的必要性和迫切性,是由下列因素所决定的,即:科学技术和生产的迅速发展,对自然资源需求的大量增长,国民经济结构的复杂化,科学、技术、经济和政治越来越密切的相互联系。有了长期预测,就能够确定科学、技术和经济发展的潜在可能性、基本趋势和原则性方向,对制订出有效的科技政策与社会经济政策是必需的条件和基础。科技预测正成为编制国民经济计划的一个完整过程的出发点和第一阶段。首先拟订长期(25～30年或更长远些)科技预测,随后制订国民经济发展总计划(10～20年)、五年计划和年度计划。年度计划
Now, no matter whether the Soviet Union or other economically developed countries pay more and more attention to the issue of long-term science and technology prediction. The necessity and urgency of elaborating long-term scientific and technological projections in detail are determined by the following factors: rapid development of science and technology and production, substantial growth in demand for natural resources, complication of the national economic structure, changes in science, technology, The economy and politics are getting more and more interconnected. With long-term forecasts, the potential, basic trends and direction of science, technology and economic development can be identified, and the necessary conditions and basis for formulating effective S & T and socio-economic policies are established. Technology forecasting is becoming the starting point and the first phase of a complete process of compiling a national economy plan. First, formulate long-term (25 to 30 years or more) scientific and technological projections, followed by the formulation of the national economic development plan (10-20 years), the five-year plan and the annual plan. Annual plan