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本文以全球性金融危机和中国经济崛起为基本背景,探讨了中国可能出现全球性重要国际金融中心的理论依据,并且认为,虽然当前香港的微观金融市场条件超过上海,但从长期看,在宏观基础性因素和政策性因素等基本因素的作用下,上海可能成长为比香港更为重要的国际金融中心。同时以上述分析为基础,进一步研究了沪港未来金融发展可能出现的基本竞合结构及双方各自的战略取向。
Taking the global financial crisis and the rise of China’s economy as the basic background, this paper explores the theoretical basis for China’s possible emergence of a globally important international financial center and holds that although Hong Kong’s micro-financial market conditions exceed that of Shanghai in the long run, Basic factors and policy factors and other basic factors, Shanghai may grow into an even more important international financial center than Hong Kong. At the same time, based on the above analysis, we further study the basic competing structure that Shanghai-Hong Kong may have in future financial development and their respective strategic orientations.